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AHT: 01CSV

02 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Leicester
24.4%
Draw
37.6%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.67

Leicester

vs
1.66

Hull

Markets

BTTS66.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
2-0
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).