Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Southend
24.4%
Draw
46.8%
Lincoln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Southend
vs
1.43
Lincoln
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).