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18 Feb 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.4%
Oostende
19.4%
Draw
65.2%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Oostende

vs
2.34

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.0%
1-1
8.7%
1-3
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
0-3
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
0-4
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).