Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Lille
27.2%
Draw
18.6%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Lille
vs
0.64
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.1%
0-0
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
0-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).