Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Pordenone
29.9%
Draw
41.3%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Pordenone
vs
1.34
Spal
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).