Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Fuenlabrada
20.8%
Draw
56.1%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Fuenlabrada
vs
2.09
Santander
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).