Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.2%
Sheffield Weds
23.7%
Draw
64.0%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.81
Millwall
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-1
11.0%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.7%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
1-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).