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AHT: 12CSV

19 Dec 2020 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.9%
Mallorca
24.3%
Draw
20.8%
Fuenlabrada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Mallorca

vs
0.91

Fuenlabrada

Markets

BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).