Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Fredrikstad
24.9%
Draw
29.5%
Vålerenga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Fredrikstad
vs
1.19
Vålerenga
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
4.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).