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22 Feb 2025 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.4%
Westerlo
26.1%
Draw
39.6%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Westerlo

vs
1.51

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS59.2%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).