Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.9%
Brackley Town
27.4%
Draw
53.7%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Brackley Town
vs
1.57
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
11.2%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.6%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).