Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Ath Bilbao
26.3%
Draw
12.9%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.55
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS33.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.2%
Over 3.515.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.2%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).