Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Verona
31.1%
Draw
38.8%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Verona
vs
1.04
Lecce
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.6%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
13.2%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).