Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Barrow
23.8%
Draw
40.0%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Barrow
vs
1.49
Sutton
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).