Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Sp Braga
16.1%
Draw
13.0%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
2.87
Sp Braga
vs
1.22
Estoril
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.5%
Over 3.558.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-0
6.6%
1-1
6.3%
4-1
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
1-0
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
4-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).