Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Falkirk
31.5%
Draw
39.9%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Falkirk
vs
1.16
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).