Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Cadiz
24.8%
Draw
38.4%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Cadiz
vs
1.44
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).