Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.8%
Fiorentina
16.5%
Draw
14.8%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.60
Fiorentina
vs
1.15
Crotone
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
4-1
5.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
4-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).