Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Southend
28.3%
Draw
29.6%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Southend
vs
1.16
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).