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26 Sept 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.3%
Venezia
17.0%
Draw
7.7%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

2.42

Venezia

vs
0.67

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.2%
3-0
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).