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AHT: 01CSV

13 Dec 2025 · 20:00

Hearts

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.2%
Falkirk
31.4%
Draw
39.4%
Hearts

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Falkirk

vs
1.14

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Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.6%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).