Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.1%
Celta
23.8%
Draw
22.1%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Celta
vs
1.08
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).