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07 Feb 2026 · 15:01

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.3%
Stockport
21.6%
Draw
21.2%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Stockport

vs
0.95

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS49.9%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).