Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Napoli
25.4%
Draw
38.4%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Napoli
vs
1.38
Juventus
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).