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AHT: 12

29 Sept 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.5%
Haugesund
17.2%
Draw
70.4%
Sandefjord

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Haugesund

vs
2.37

Sandefjord

Markets

BTTS53.4%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-3
8.5%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
0-0
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).