Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Granada
23.7%
Draw
22.3%
Ceuta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Granada
vs
1.01
Ceuta
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).