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26 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.3%
Wrexham
20.4%
Draw
13.3%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Wrexham

vs
0.63

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS38.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.8%
2-0
14.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).