Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Catanzaro
27.9%
Draw
35.8%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Catanzaro
vs
1.38
Palermo
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).