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03 Apr 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.9%
Werder Bremen
17.0%
Draw
9.1%
Sandhausen

Expected Goals (xG)

2.51

Werder Bremen

vs
0.80

Sandhausen

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.5%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
5-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).