Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Monaco
22.3%
Draw
34.6%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Monaco
vs
1.48
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS62.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).