Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Birmingham
30.8%
Draw
23.9%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Birmingham
vs
0.86
Oxford
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
12.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).