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04 Apr 2025 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.9%
Reggiana
25.8%
Draw
53.3%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Reggiana

vs
1.75

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).