Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.6%
Spartak Moskva
19.0%
Draw
8.4%
Bodrum FK
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Spartak Moskva
vs
0.66
Bodrum FK
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.7%
0-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).