Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Harrogate
25.7%
Draw
39.2%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Harrogate
vs
1.30
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).