Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Orleans
27.3%
Draw
20.0%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Orleans
vs
0.66
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.4%
0-0
13.3%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).