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AHT: 02

09 Apr 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Oxford
29.7%
Draw
31.9%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Oxford

vs
1.12

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
10.3%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).