Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Sampdoria
29.4%
Draw
46.7%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Sampdoria
vs
1.22
Parma
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).