Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Bolton
30.0%
Draw
39.2%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Bolton
vs
1.06
Exeter
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
0-0
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).