Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Wolfsburg
21.3%
Draw
59.3%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Wolfsburg
vs
2.18
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.1%
0-1
6.9%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
1-4
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).