Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.2%
Stenhousemuir
32.4%
Draw
51.4%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Stenhousemuir
vs
1.20
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS30.3%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.552.9%
Over 2.525.6%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
20.1%
0-0
18.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).