Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Auxerre
30.6%
Draw
21.9%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Auxerre
vs
0.64
Clermont
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.583.5%
Over 1.551.8%
Over 2.525.8%
Over 3.510.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.9%
0-0
16.5%
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).