Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Besiktas
27.3%
Draw
26.3%
İstanbul Başakşehir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Besiktas
vs
1.41
İstanbul Başakşehir
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).