Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
Shakhtar Donetsk
15.1%
Draw
7.1%
Karpaty
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Shakhtar Donetsk
vs
0.62
Karpaty
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
7.0%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
0-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).