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HHT: 10CSV

27 Jan 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.2%
Orleans
27.4%
Draw
34.4%
Sochaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Orleans

vs
1.03

Sochaux

Markets

BTTS42.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
0-1
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).