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15 Mar 2026 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.3%
Sudtirol
25.9%
Draw
19.8%
Pescara

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Sudtirol

vs
0.97

Pescara

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.1%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).