Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.2%
Brentford
31.1%
Draw
22.7%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Brentford
vs
0.89
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).