Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Swindon
24.2%
Draw
28.3%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Swindon
vs
1.14
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS53.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).