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AHT: 01

27 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.3%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
17.5%
Draw
64.2%
Chippenham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.

vs
2.51

Chippenham Town

Markets

BTTS66.3%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.573.0%
Over 3.552.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
1-3
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-1
7.0%
0-3
5.9%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
2-3
4.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).