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01 Mar 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.3%
Cultural Leonesa
26.1%
Draw
57.6%
Las Palmas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.65

Cultural Leonesa

vs
1.48

Las Palmas

Markets

BTTS36.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.7%
0-2
13.1%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
2-0
2.5%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).