Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.8%
Wrexham
17.5%
Draw
13.6%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
2.64
Wrexham
vs
1.14
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
3-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
3-0
7.0%
1-0
5.4%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
4-0
4.6%
3-2
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
4-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).